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Donald Trump and the Iran nuclear deal

US president – elected In March 2016, told: “My No 1 priority is to dismantle the disastrous deal with Iran”.

Panahande News

Foreign Affairs Policy in an article by Ilan Berman , under the title of “Trump and Iran – What the Next Administration Can Do ?” tried to shows why IRI(Islamic Republic of Iran) is a first priority for foreign policy of US president-elected. In first four paragraphs of this feature you can read:

The United States’ relationship with Iran tops the list of foreign policy issues that will confront President– elect Donald Trump when he takes office in January. Like many of the other Republican presidential candidates, Trump was an early and staunch opponent of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the controversial nuclear deal concluded last summer between six world powers and Iran. But Trump took up contradictory positions on the deal over the course of his campaign, at times promising to tear it up and at others suggesting he would simply amend it.

As Trump readies his administration, he is likely to favor the latter course. For a host of reasons, it may be impractical for his administration to scuttle the agreement outright. Still, there is much that Washington can do with respect to Iran, especially by more rigorously enforcing the nuclear deal and constraining Iranian expansionism. 

The JCPOA’s status as an executive agreement, rather than as a formal treaty, means that the next president can indeed abrogate Washington’s commitments under the deal. But doing so wouldn’t nix the JCPOA entirely because of the deal’s multilateral nature. Even if the United States were to withdraw from the pact, the other signatories could keep the JCPOA in force despite pressure from the new administration to take a harder stance against Tehran. 

It is true that Trump could decide to unilaterally impose (or reimpose)  penalties on U.S. companies doing business with the Islamic Republic. On its own, however, that will do little to curb the activities of the foreign firms that are beginning to dip their toes back into the Iranian market, as these firms will not be affected by any new restrictions levied against American entities.

Also POLETICO in an article by Nahal Toosi indicated to another aspect of IRI’s case for Trump administration. The writer in his feature explained Iran’s deal as a hot potato for US president- elected:

The July 2015 nuclear deal is not a treaty. It is a political arrangement put into force largely through presidential executive orders that suspended nuclear-related sanctions on Iran. In exchange for the lifting of such sanctions by the U.S., the EU and the U.N., Iran has dismantled its nuclear infrastructure.

Trump has been inconsistent about his view of the deal. He originally took a softer line than his GOP primary rivals, declining to say that he’d rip it up upon taking office. Rather, he promised to renegotiate it. But eventually, he told The American Israel Public Affairs Committee: “My No. 1 priority is to dismantle the disastrous deal with Iran.” If he wanted to, he could use his first day in office to issue executive orders to restore sanctions on Tehran and announce that the U.S. will no longer participate in panels that oversee the agreement.

Such an abrupt approach carries risks: It could badly harm America’s relations with other countries involved in the agreement, which took years to negotiate. Those countries, which include Russia, China, Germany, Britain and France, also could refuse to reimpose their own sanctions on Iran — European Union officials already have stressed to Trump their support  for keeping the deal. And, of course, Iranian officials, who have urged Trump to honor the deal, would have an excuse to restart their nuclear program and eventually build a bomb.

Now Iranian and American face to a big question: Whether Trump actually rips up the Iran deal? For answer to this important we need wait until Friday, January 20, 2017.

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